Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Timofeeva v Xiyu Wang

Início: 2026-08-14 19:49 UTC

Final: Maria Timofeeva 0–1 Xiyu Wang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Timofeeva (Local)

Previsão 32.24%3.10odd justa
EV +1.57%
Vantagem +0.497%
Kelly +0.729%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.39%33.52%32.26%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.862.883.1554.64%34.95%34.72%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Previsão 67.76%1.48odd justa
EV +23.99%
Vantagem +13.11%
Kelly +28.91%
Crescimento +6.94%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%66.48%67.74%69.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.421.411.8374.63%70.60%70.92%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 32.24%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 67.76%. Para Xiyu Wang (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.48. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +23.99%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -40.99%E -22.40%K -49.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +23.99%E +13.11%K +28.91%G +6.94%9.3%2026-08-14 19:28
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -24.23%E -10.31%K -17.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV +5.70%E +3.65%K +10.18%G +0.580%6.7%2026-08-14 19:47
GTbets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 15:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 19:48
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 12:09
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.52%E -5.92%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 19:48
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:27
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:27
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 19:34
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 19:40
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.11%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 09:24
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:14
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:24
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 07:53
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 19:35
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.57%E +0.497%K +0.729%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 11:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 19:48
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.53%E -6.32%K -24.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:55
SportsBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.39%EV -1.01%E -0.330%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.61%EV -9.21%E -6.87%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
ProphetX◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%1.5%2026-08-14 19:35
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%4.2%2026-08-14 19:41