Idioma:Español
Maria Timofeeva v Xiyu Wang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Predicción 32.24%3.10momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.497%
Kelly +0.729%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.39%33.52%32.26%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.862.883.1554.64%34.95%34.72%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Xiyu Wang (Visitante)
Predicción 67.76%1.48momio equitativo
EV +23.99%
Ventaja +13.11%
Kelly +28.91%
Crecimiento +6.94%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%66.48%67.74%69.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.411.8374.63%70.60%70.92%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 32.24%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 67.76%. Para Xiyu Wang (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.48. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +23.99%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -40.99%E -22.40%K -49.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +23.99%E +13.11%K +28.91%G +6.94% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 19:28 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -24.23%E -10.31%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV +5.70%E +3.65%K +10.18%G +0.580% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 19:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 19:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.52%E -5.92%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 19:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 19:27 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 19:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.11%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 19:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 07:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.57%E +0.497%K +0.729%G +0.011% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 19:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.53%E -6.32%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.39%EV -1.01%E -0.330%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.61%EV -9.21%E -6.87%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 19:41 |