StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maria Timofeeva v Xiyu Wang

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 19:49 UTC

Endstand: Maria Timofeeva 0–1 Xiyu Wang

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Maria Timofeeva (Heim)

Prognose 32.24%3.10faire Quote
EV +1.57%
Vorteil +0.497%
Kelly +0.729%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.39%33.52%32.26%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.832.862.883.1554.64%34.95%34.72%31.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.76%1.48faire Quote
EV +23.99%
Vorteil +13.11%
Kelly +28.91%
Wachstum +6.94%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%66.48%67.74%69.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.341.421.411.8374.63%70.60%70.92%54.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Maria Timofeeva (Heim): 32.24%; Xiyu Wang (Auswärts): 67.76%. Für Xiyu Wang (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.48. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.83 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +23.99%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -40.99%E -22.40%K -49.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +23.99%E +13.11%K +28.91%G +6.94%9.3%2026-08-14 19:28
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -24.23%E -10.31%K -17.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV +5.70%E +3.65%K +10.18%G +0.580%6.7%2026-08-14 19:47
GTbets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 15:50
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.75%E -1.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 19:48
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 12:09
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.52%E -5.92%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.43%E -1.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 19:48
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:27
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:27
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 19:34
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 19:40
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.79%E -2.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.95%E -0.979%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.11%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -4.46%E -3.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 09:24
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 17:14
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:24
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 07:53
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.66%E -0.544%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 19:35
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.82%E -4.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.57%E +0.497%K +0.729%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 11:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.50%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.17%E -5.24%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.046%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 19:48
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.53%E -6.32%K -24.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:55
SportsBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.39%EV -1.01%E -0.330%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.61%EV -9.21%E -6.87%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-08-14 19:35
ProphetX◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%1.5%2026-08-14 19:35
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%4.2%2026-08-14 19:41