Langue:Français
Maria Timofeeva v Katerina Siniakova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Prévision 36.02%2.78cote équitable
EV +6.27%
Avantage +2.12%
Kelly +3.21%
Croissance +0.201%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.18%35.94%35.84%39.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.662.9541.67%36.62%37.59%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.98%1.56cote équitable
EV -0.195%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.349%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%64.06%64.16%67.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.461.461.5672.46%68.64%68.73%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maria Timofeeva (Local) : 36.02% ; Katerina Siniakova (Visiteur) : 63.98%. Pour Maria Timofeeva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +6.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +2.66%E +0.935%K +1.44%G +0.038% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.71%E -8.49%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +1.22%E +0.435%K +0.676%G +0.008% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -7.87%E -5.47%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.863%E +0.308%K +0.480%G +0.004% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.67%E -3.14%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.938%E -0.341%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.59%E -4.52%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.38%E -0.878%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.82%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.59%E -4.52%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.87%E -5.47%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.47%E -0.958%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.11%E -1.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.42%E -2.89%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.195%E -0.125%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.42%E -2.89%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.195%E -0.125%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.79%E -6.94%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.55%E -5.64%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.835%E -0.539%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 04:19 |