Idioma:Español
Maria Timofeeva v Katerina Siniakova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Predicción 36.02%2.78momio equitativo
EV +6.27%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +3.21%
Crecimiento +0.201%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.18%35.94%35.84%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.662.9541.67%36.62%37.59%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)
Predicción 63.98%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.195%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.349%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%64.06%64.16%67.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.461.5672.46%68.64%68.73%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 36.02%; Katerina Siniakova (Visitante): 63.98%. Para Maria Timofeeva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. 18 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.27%E +2.12%K +3.21%G +0.201% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +2.66%E +0.935%K +1.44%G +0.038% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.71%E -8.49%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +1.22%E +0.435%K +0.676%G +0.008% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -7.87%E -5.47%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.863%E +0.308%K +0.480%G +0.004% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.67%E -3.14%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.938%E -0.341%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.59%E -4.52%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.38%E -0.878%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.82%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.59%E -4.52%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.87%E -5.47%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.47%E -0.958%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.11%E -1.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 04:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.42%E -2.89%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.195%E -0.125%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -7.42%E -2.89%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -0.195%E -0.125%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -8.14%E -3.19%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.79%E -6.94%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.94%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.74%E -4.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.55%E -5.64%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.835%E -0.539%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 04:19 |