Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Anna Bondár

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 15:00 UTC

Final: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 Anna Bondár

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.10%59.78%59.80%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.591.6365.79%62.69%62.89%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Bondár (Visit)

Prediction 40.18%2.49fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.787%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.22%40.20%41.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.332.302.4644.84%42.95%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 59.82%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 40.18%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.46, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:03
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -9.19%E -4.06%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 08:34
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 10:03
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.97%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:08
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:00
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 06:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:59
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 05:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 10:25
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 20:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:34
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 05:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 20:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 14:25
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-14 14:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%3.4%2026-08-14 14:55