Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Anna Bondár

Início: 2026-08-14 15:00 UTC

Final: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 Anna Bondár

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Previsão 59.82%1.67odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -3.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.10%59.78%59.80%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.601.591.6365.79%62.69%62.89%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Previsão 40.18%2.49odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.467%
Kelly -0.787%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.22%40.20%41.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.332.302.4644.84%42.95%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 59.82%; Anna Bondár (Visitante): 40.18%. Para Anna Bondár (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.49. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.46, com valor esperado de -1.15%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:03
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.38%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:04
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -2.50%E -1.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -9.19%E -4.06%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 12:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.10%E -1.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.69%E -2.29%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 08:34
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 10:03
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.97%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.29%E -2.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.39%E -4.66%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:08
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:00
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 06:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:59
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 05:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 10:25
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 20:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.49%E -3.47%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:34
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 05:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 14:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 20:40
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.28%E -4.70%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.08%E -5.97%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 14:25
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-14 14:35
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-14 14:55
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%3.4%2026-08-14 14:55