Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

Inizio: 2026-08-20 23:04 UTC

Finale: Iga Swiatek 0–0 Elena Rybakina

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek (Casa)

Previsione 58.46%1.71quota equa
EV -1.20%
Vantaggio -0.712%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.67%58.51%58.56%60.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.61%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.54%2.41quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.476%
Kelly -0.821%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.49%41.44%43.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.292.282.3845.45%43.75%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iga Swiatek (Casa): 58.46%; Elena Rybakina (Trasferta): 41.54%. Per Elena Rybakina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.41. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.38, con un valore atteso del -1.13%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.20%E -0.712%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.19%E -3.71%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:58
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 22:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 22:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:39
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 22:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:49
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 22:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 22:00
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 23:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 22:00
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 21:48
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:48
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-08-20 23:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-20 23:00