Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

2026-08-20 23:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Predicción 60.27%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.31%60.16%60.34%61.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.581.6365.79%62.95%63.29%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 39.73%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.924%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%39.84%39.66%41.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.4644.44%42.55%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iga Swiatek (Local): 60.27%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 39.73%. Para Iga Swiatek (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.63, con un valor esperado de -1.75%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:03
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 08:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:03
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-20 08:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-20 06:19
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-20 07:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 07:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 07:24
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.96%E -1.84%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 04:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-20 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 07:24
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 07:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 07:54
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 08:02
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 08:04
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 08:04
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:54
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 04:53
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 07:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 08:04
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:03
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 07:30
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.27%E -0.924%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 07:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:53
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 04:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 06:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 03:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 06:13
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 08:03
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 08:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 07:54
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 08:05
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:14
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 04:53
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.83%E -3.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 07:54
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 07:54
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 05:14
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.05%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 07:54
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.78%E -5.09%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 07:50
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.38%E -5.52%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 06:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-08-20 08:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-20 08:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-20 08:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-20 07:54
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-20 06:04
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-08-20 08:05

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