Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-20 23:04 UTC

Score final : Iga Swiatek 0–0 Elena Rybakina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prévision 58.46%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.67%58.51%58.56%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.61%61.73%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.54%2.41cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.821%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.49%41.44%43.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.282.3845.45%43.75%43.86%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 58.46% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 41.54%. Pour Elena Rybakina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.41. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.38, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.20%E -0.712%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.19%E -3.71%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 22:58
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.63%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.37%E -1.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 22:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.13%E -2.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.38%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 22:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.29%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:39
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:00
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 22:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 20:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:49
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 22:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 22:00
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 23:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 22:00
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 21:48
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:48
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.13%E -0.476%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.46%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 22:45
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-08-20 23:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-20 23:00