Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Magda Linette

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 18:00 UTC

Final: Elena Gabriela Ruse 2–0 Magda Linette

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prediction 58.77%1.70fair odd
EV -0.681%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.987%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.50%58.79%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.631.6963.69%60.90%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magda Linette (Visit)

Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV +0.604%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.420%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%41.50%41.21%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4447.62%44.58%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 58.77%; Magda Linette (Visit): 41.23%. For Magda Linette (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.604%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV +0.604%E +0.248%K +0.420%G +0.003%2.7%2026-08-13 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.28%E -0.963%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 17:19
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.93%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 16:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 16:25
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 20:14
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 17:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.58%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 15:59
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.82%E -3.02%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 16:44
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 17:10
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 17:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:25
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.681%E -0.403%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.59%E -5.94%K -11.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.41%E -6.39%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 04:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-13 13:15