Idioma:Español
Elena Gabriela Ruse v Magda Linette
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)
Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.681%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.987%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%58.50%58.79%60.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.631.6963.69%60.90%61.35%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Magda Linette (Visitante)
Predicción 41.23%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.604%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.420%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.90%41.50%41.21%44.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.4447.62%44.58%44.44%40.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 58.77%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 41.23%. Para Magda Linette (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.44, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.604%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV +0.604%E +0.248%K +0.420%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-08-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.28%E -0.963%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 16:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.93%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 20:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.58%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.82%E -3.02%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.21%E -2.58%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.93%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.23%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -1.27%E -0.755%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -10.94%E -5.07%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.681%E -0.403%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.59%E -5.94%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.41%E -6.39%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 04:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 13:15 |