Language:English
Diana Shnaider v Tatjana Maria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Prediction 75.70%1.32fair odd
EV +41.57%
Edge +22.23%
Kelly +47.78%
Growth +19.86%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%73.26%75.73%77.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.251.8782.64%78.62%80.00%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tatjana Maria (Visit)
Prediction 24.30%4.12fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.429%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.69%26.74%24.27%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.833.803.854.1954.64%26.31%25.97%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 75.70%; Tatjana Maria (Visit): 24.30%. For Diana Shnaider (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +41.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +41.57%E +22.23%K +47.78%G +19.86% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -54.57%E -29.18%K -62.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +38.54%E +21.06%K +46.43%G +17.90% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -55.54%E -30.35%K -66.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.10%E -2.42%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV +1.55%E +0.372%K +0.489%G +0.008% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.389%E -0.095%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV -3.30%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV -3.30%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 04:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -0.875%E -0.214%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.389%E -0.095%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.58%E -0.642%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.76%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:18 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.82%E -0.705%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -6.88%E -5.60%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV +1.80%E +0.429%K +0.563%G +0.010% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -6.88%E -5.60%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.76%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.88%E -5.60%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 21:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.40%E -6.94%K -39.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.46%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |