Language:English
Coco Gauff v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 58.77%1.70fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.74%58.75%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.6864.10%61.41%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -0.232%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.26%41.25%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.4245.45%43.71%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 58.77%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 41.23%. For Jessica Pegula (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.232%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.26%E -0.750%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 07:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 07:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.47%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.232%E -0.096%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.47%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 22:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 18:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 11:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 19:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.53%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 11:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.88%E -0.790%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.19% | -0.5% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 22:55 |