Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff v Jessica Pegula

Inicio: 2026-08-23 23:00 UTC

Final: Coco Gauff 2–0 Jessica Pegula

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.74%58.75%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.621.6864.10%61.41%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 41.23%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.232%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.26%41.25%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.4245.45%43.71%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Coco Gauff (Local): 58.77%; Jessica Pegula (Visitante): 41.23%. Para Jessica Pegula (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.42, con un valor esperado de -0.232%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.26%E -0.750%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 07:55
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:14
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.06%E -3.62%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 07:53
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:53
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.47%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.232%E -0.096%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -1.47%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 22:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 18:03
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 11:25
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 11:25
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 11:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:19
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:19
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:48
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 22:55
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.53%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 22:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 22:54
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 11:14
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.88%E -0.790%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:19
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.31%E -5.33%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 22:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.19%-0.5%2026-08-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-23 22:55
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-23 22:55
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.8%2026-08-23 22:54
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-08-23 22:55