Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Ann Li

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 19:07 UTC

Final: Coco Gauff 2–0 Ann Li

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 84.34%1.19fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -20.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%84.37%84.27%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.131.1592.59%88.99%88.89%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ann Li (Visit)

Prediction 15.66%6.39fair odd
EV +9.59%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.153%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.63%15.73%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.855.787.0020.00%17.08%17.32%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 84.34%; Ann Li (Visit): 15.66%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.22%E -6.56%K -72.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.59%E +1.37%K +1.60%G +0.153%5.2%2026-08-18 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.91%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.09%EV +6.92%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.082%3.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.89%E +0.730%K +0.858%G +0.042%5.0%2026-08-18 19:05
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.33%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.67%EV +3.79%E +0.572%K +0.674%G +0.026%2.8%2026-08-18 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.18%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.82%EV +2.54%E +0.388%K +0.458%G +0.012%3.0%2026-08-18 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.76%E +0.271%K +0.320%G +0.006%4.7%2026-08-18 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.76%E +0.271%K +0.320%G +0.006%5.5%2026-08-18 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.76%E +0.271%K +0.320%G +0.006%5.5%2026-08-18 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.22%E -6.56%K -72.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.76%E +0.271%K +0.320%G +0.006%6.3%2026-08-18 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.91%E -8.25%K -111.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +1.76%E +0.271%K +0.320%G +0.006%8.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.16%E -0.345%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 09:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.22%E -6.56%K -72.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -2.16%E -0.345%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -2.94%E -0.474%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -2.94%E -0.474%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -2.94%E -0.474%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.94%E -0.474%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 07:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 18:05
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 16:45
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:30
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 18:49
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.07%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 18:49
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -7.01%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -7.63%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 18:50
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.29%EV -8.06%E -7.40%K -89.60%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.71%EV -8.42%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.06%E -7.40%K -89.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.20%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 19:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:04
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 07:14
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.98%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 19:05
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.80%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.20%EV -10.14%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.77%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:04
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.77%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:04
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.77%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:04
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:44
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:44
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:45
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.33%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.85%E -3.37%K -27.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.90%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 13:24
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.90%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.69%E -4.15%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.46%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.00%E -2.61%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.81%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.38%E -5.75%K -57.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -17.81%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 19:05
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.00%E -2.61%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.72%E -4.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.72%E -4.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 17:28
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.53%E -4.94%K -46.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.72%E -4.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-18 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -8.06%E -7.40%K -89.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -21.72%E -4.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-08-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-08-18 19:05
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-08-18 19:05
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-08-18 19:05