Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff v Ann Li

2026-08-18 12:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Predicción 82.60%1.21momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -19.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.71%82.43%82.44%83.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.151.1790.91%87.19%86.96%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ann Li (Visitante)

Predicción 17.40%5.75momio equitativo
EV +5.42%
Ventaja +0.894%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.07%17.57%17.56%20.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.285.306.0622.73%18.95%18.87%16.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Coco Gauff (Local): 82.60%; Ann Li (Visitante): 17.40%. Para Ann Li (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.75. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.06, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.42%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.93%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.07%EV +5.42%E +0.894%K +1.07%G +0.058%2.7%2026-08-17 08:49
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +4.37%E +0.729%K +0.874%G +0.038%2.9%2026-08-17 08:39
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV +2.11%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009%3.2%2026-08-17 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.74%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.26%EV +2.11%E +0.360%K +0.433%G +0.009%4.8%2026-08-17 08:37
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.893%E +0.154%K +0.186%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-17 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -9.13%E -8.30%K -91.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -0.847%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 05:29
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:49
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:38
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:40
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:39
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:39
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:39
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.33%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 08:39
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 08:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 08:44
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 08:40
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -8.31%E -7.49%K -75.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -6.07%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -6.94%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 08:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.80%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:49
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.67%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.28%E -2.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 08:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.02%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:55
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -15.63%E -3.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 08:49
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.50%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.35%E -2.87%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.50%E -3.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 08:49
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.37%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 08:49
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.37%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -6.66%E -5.89%K -51.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -18.24%E -3.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 08:38
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -18.24%E -3.88%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 08:39
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.18%E -3.60%K -26.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -19.98%E -4.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 08:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -21.72%E -4.83%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.71%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -23.46%E -5.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 08:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%7.0%2026-08-17 08:40
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 83.23%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.77%7.3%2026-08-17 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%7.7%2026-08-17 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%7.7%2026-08-17 08:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%7.7%2026-08-17 08:34
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%10.4%2026-08-17 08:40
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%11.8%2026-08-17 08:45

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