Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 1.73
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 41.95%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 58.05%. For Caty McNally (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.78%E +1.14%K +1.92%G +0.053% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.93%E -8.62%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV +2.36%E +0.969%K +1.64%G +0.039% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV +0.266%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.41%E -0.601%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -2.25%E -0.966%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -16.99%E -11.88%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.77%E -2.10%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.77%E -2.10%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.45%E -6.05%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.87%E -3.09%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.48%E -1.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.90%E -1.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV +0.422%E +0.244%K +0.579%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.70%E -4.85%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |