Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally v Anna Kalinskaya

Inicio: 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC

Final: Caty McNally 0–2 Anna Kalinskaya

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally (Local)

Predicción 41.95%2.38momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%42.00%41.73%44.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.4547.62%44.27%44.44%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 58.05%1.72momio equitativo
EV +0.422%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.41%58.00%58.27%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.611.621.7369.93%61.93%61.73%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Caty McNally (Local): 41.95%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 58.05%. Para Caty McNally (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.38. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.78%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.78%E +1.14%K +1.92%G +0.053%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.93%E -8.62%K -25.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV +2.36%E +0.969%K +1.64%G +0.039%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV +0.266%E +0.111%K +0.192%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.41%E -0.601%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -2.25%E -0.966%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -16.99%E -11.88%K -39.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:15
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:40
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.93%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.77%E -2.10%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.77%E -2.10%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:04
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 18:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 16:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.87%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 16:04
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.45%E -6.05%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:00
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.87%E -3.09%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.48%E -1.48%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.90%E -1.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:43
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:59
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:59
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.22%E -2.56%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV +0.422%E +0.244%K +0.579%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:59
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.70%E -4.85%K -13.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:55
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.06%E -1.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-15 18:00
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-15 18:00
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-15 18:00
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-08-15 18:00