Language:English
Amanda Anisimova v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Amanda Anisimova (Local)
Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.09%44.91%47.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.1951.28%48.22%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.49%54.91%55.09%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8159.88%57.48%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amanda Anisimova (Local): 44.99%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 55.01%. For Jessica Pegula (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -0.437%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.47%E -0.669%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.47%E -0.669%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.92%E -0.879%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.92%E -0.879%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-20 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 16:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 17:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.40%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 14:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 16:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.09%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 08:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.09%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -11.36%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -12.26%E -6.29%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 17:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |