Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Amanda Anisimova v Jessica Pegula

Início: 2026-08-20 17:09 UTC

Final: Amanda Anisimova 1–2 Jessica Pegula

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Amanda Anisimova (Local)

Previsão 44.99%2.22odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.669%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.09%44.91%47.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.072.102.1951.28%48.22%47.62%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Previsão 55.01%1.82odd justa
EV -0.437%
Vantagem -0.241%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.49%54.91%55.09%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.731.8159.88%57.48%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Amanda Anisimova (Local): 44.99%; Jessica Pegula (Visitante): 55.01%. Para Jessica Pegula (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.81, com valor esperado de -0.437%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.47%E -0.669%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.47%E -0.669%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 17:05
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.92%E -0.879%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-20 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.92%E -0.879%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 16:19
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:53
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:04
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 16:25
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 17:03
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:20
ReBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:20
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.64%E -1.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.19%E -1.81%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 16:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 14:08
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 16:24
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 17:09
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 16:24
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.09%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 08:34
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 17:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 17:01
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.29%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:03
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:03
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:04
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -0.437%E -0.241%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.09%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 17:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.01%E -5.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.04%E -4.16%K -10.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -11.36%E -5.77%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -3.74%E -2.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -12.26%E -6.29%K -12.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 17:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%0.3%2026-08-20 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-20 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-20 17:05
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-20 17:05
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-20 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-20 17:05
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-20 17:05