Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.68
assuming max odds 2.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 58.40%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 41.60%. For Alina Charaeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.665%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.665%E +0.275%K +0.469%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.665%E +0.275%K +0.469%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.14%E -4.49%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.998%E -0.420%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-28 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.998%E -0.420%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.66%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 04:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.49%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.88%E -1.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 12:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -8.89%E -5.70%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -4.74%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.80%E -2.95%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.16%E -2.26%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.57%E -2.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 15:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 02:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.31%E -5.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.64%E -2.20%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.22%E -2.57%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.39%E -3.33%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.97%E -3.71%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 21:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.56%E -4.10%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 21:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.89%E -5.70%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -9.73%E -4.49%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.48%E -6.11%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.57%E -4.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-10-01 03:01 |