Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Alina Charaeva

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Predicción 60.34%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.88%60.36%60.35%61.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.48%64.94%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alina Charaeva (Visitante)

Predicción 39.66%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.842%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.562%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%39.64%39.65%41.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.5045.45%41.56%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 60.34%; Alina Charaeva (Visitante): 39.66%. Para Alina Charaeva (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.842%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.25%E -1.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.98%E -3.44%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.06%E -2.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.21%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 18:54
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.06%E -2.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.21%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 19:09
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.06%E -2.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 18:55
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.67%E -2.95%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 02:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 18:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.27%E -3.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.87%E -3.77%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 02:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.78%E -3.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-28 18:54
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.78%E -3.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-28 18:55
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.78%E -3.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.842%E -0.337%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 19:19
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.08%E -4.60%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.64%E -0.660%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.68%E -5.02%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.81%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-28 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.68%E -5.02%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.78%E -3.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-28 21:24
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.68%E -5.02%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.78%E -3.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-28 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -8.89%E -5.89%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.74%E -5.79%K -10.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-28 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -10.70%E -7.23%K -22.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -6.79%E -2.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-28 20:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%10.4%2026-09-29 02:05