Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Maddison Inglis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 72.89%1.37fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -9.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%72.86%72.92%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.44%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maddison Inglis (Visit)
Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.598%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.14%27.08%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.523.7530.77%28.17%28.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 72.89%; Maddison Inglis (Visit): 27.11%. For Maddison Inglis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +1.65%E +0.439%K +0.598%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.51%E -3.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.07%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 07:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.07%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.69%E -5.23%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.34%E -0.367%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 07:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.51%E -3.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 06:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.97%E -4.62%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 07:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.97%E -4.62%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 08:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.23%E -0.906%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 03:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.51%E -3.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.51%E -3.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 09:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.69%E -5.23%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.69%E -5.23%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -11.07%E -9.07%K -50.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.78%E -2.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.40%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.78%E -2.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -5.40%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -4.51%E -3.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 05:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.78%E -2.86%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.97%E -4.62%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.05%E -2.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.05%E -2.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.05%E -2.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.05%E -2.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 06:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.24%E -4.03%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 06:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.42%E -5.85%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.05%E -2.29%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-02 08:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-02 08:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-02 08:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-10-02 08:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-10-02 08:10 |