Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek v Maddison Inglis

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prévision 71.40%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -8.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%71.44%71.23%73.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.301.291.3680.65%76.68%77.52%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Maddison Inglis (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.60%3.50cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.821%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.56%28.77%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.383.473.6033.90%29.57%28.82%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Sara Bejlek (Local) : 71.40% ; Maddison Inglis (Visiteur) : 28.60%. Pour Maddison Inglis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.50. 20 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +2.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.96%E +0.821%K +1.14%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-30 12:00
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.75%E -4.36%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.095%E +0.027%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.095%E +0.027%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 10:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.095%E +0.027%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 09:40
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.095%E +0.027%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.32%E -7.34%K -34.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +0.095%E +0.027%K +0.038%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 11:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -0.477%E -0.137%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-30 12:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -0.763%E -0.220%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 10:00
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -1.62%E -0.471%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -11.46%E -9.24%K -47.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -2.76%E -0.813%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:05
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -4.32%E -3.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -5.34%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.75%E -4.36%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 12:00
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-30 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.61%E -6.72%K -30.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.75%E -4.36%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-30 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-30 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-30 11:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 09:55
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.32%E -3.23%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 10:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.04%E -3.79%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-30 12:17
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.34%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.66%EV -12.49%E -4.08%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-30 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.89%E -6.12%K -27.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-30 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.61%E -6.72%K -30.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-30 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.61%E -6.72%K -30.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.63%E -5.30%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-30 11:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 69.98%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.02%12.5%2026-09-30 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 69.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%14.5%2026-09-30 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 69.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%14.5%2026-09-30 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 69.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%14.5%2026-09-30 13:45
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 67.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 32.28%20.1%2026-09-30 13:50