Language:English
Qinwen Zheng v Shi Han
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qinwen Zheng (Local)
Prediction 88.17%1.13fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -30.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.12%88.20%89.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.081.081.1098.04%92.94%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shi Han (Visit)
Prediction 11.83%8.45fair odd
EV +8.58%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 9.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.27%11.88%11.80%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.767.509.1815.38%12.88%13.33%10.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 88.17%; Shi Han (Visit): 11.83%. For Shi Han (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.45. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.47%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.53%EV +8.58%E +0.935%K +1.05%G +0.090% | 3.5% | 2026-10-01 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +6.45%E +0.717%K +0.807%G +0.052% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +1.72%E +0.200%K +0.227%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV +1.72%E +0.200%K +0.227%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.539%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.539%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.539%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.539%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +0.420%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +0.420%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.644%E -0.077%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -0.644%E -0.077%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.42%E -0.293%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -4.19%E -0.518%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.01%E -2.74%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -108.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.39%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.38%E -0.672%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -7.74%E -0.992%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.74%E -0.992%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.74%E -0.992%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.74%E -0.992%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.68%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.76I 12.89%NM 12.32%EV -8.21%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.29%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.34%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.66%EV -11.88%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.89%E -3.57%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.84%E -2.06%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.01%E -2.74%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -17.20%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -17.20%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-30 20:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 86.79%EV -10.06%E -9.87%K -503.23%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.21%EV -20.75%E -3.10%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.12%E -3.56%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.77%E -4.42%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.12%E -3.56%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-30 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |