Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng v Shi Han

2026-10-01 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prediction 86.50%1.16fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -4.41%
Kelly -48.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.71%86.54%85.99%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.17%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shi Han (Visit)

Prediction 13.50%7.41fair odd
EV +14.72%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.289%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%13.46%14.01%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.976.758.5018.18%14.34%14.81%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 86.50%; Shi Han (Visit): 13.50%. For Shi Han (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.41. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.50, producing a positive expected value of +14.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +14.72%E +1.73%K +1.96%G +0.289%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +13.37%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.242%4.5%2026-09-29 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.97%E +0.996%K +1.14%G +0.091%5.1%2026-09-29 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.97%E +0.996%K +1.14%G +0.091%5.1%2026-09-29 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -8.31%E -7.84%K -138.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +4.60%E +0.593%K +0.681%G +0.031%7.2%2026-09-29 12:45
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.15%EV -5.71%E -5.24%K -63.46%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.85%EV -0.262%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:40
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.53%E -0.789%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.90%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 13:09
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.90%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 13:14
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -10.92%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.27%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.27%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:20
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.02%E -3.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:03
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.85%E -4.41%K -48.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.02%E -3.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:12
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -6.58%E -6.09%K -82.20%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -20.37%E -3.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.44%E -6.95%K -106.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -25.77%E -4.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-29 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%12.5%2026-09-29 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.40%15.6%2026-09-29 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.40%15.6%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.40%15.6%2026-09-29 12:55