默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Qinwen Zheng v Shi Han

2026-10-01 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Qinwen Zheng (主队)

预测 86.79%1.15公平赔率
EV -4.53%
优势 -4.11%
Kelly -45.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布
83.71%86.85%86.79%88.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.34%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shi Han (客队)

预测 13.21%7.57公平赔率
EV +12.25%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.63%
增长率 +0.200%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.27%13.15%13.21%16.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.507.067.008.5018.18%14.17%14.29%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Qinwen Zheng (主队):86.79%;Shi Han (客队):13.21%。 对于“Shi Han (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.57。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为8.50,由此产生+12.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +12.25%E +1.44%K +1.63%G +0.200%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +10.93%E +1.30%K +1.48%G +0.161%4.5%2026-09-29 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.65%E +0.706%K +0.806%G +0.046%5.1%2026-09-29 12:40
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.65%E +0.706%K +0.806%G +0.046%5.1%2026-09-29 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -8.00%E -7.55%K -133.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +2.34%E +0.302%K +0.347%G +0.008%7.2%2026-09-29 12:45
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.13%E -6.66%K -101.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -0.958%E -0.128%K -0.147%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 13:50
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.15%EV -5.39%E -4.95%K -59.94%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.85%EV -2.41%E -0.326%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.00%E -7.55%K -133.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -4.92%E -0.683%K -0.793%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 13:54
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.11%K -45.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.56%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.53%E -4.11%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -10.20%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 14:10
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.53%E -4.11%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -10.20%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 14:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -11.52%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.16%E -2.18%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:44
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.53%E -4.11%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.77%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:03
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.53%E -4.11%K -45.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.77%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:12
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.53%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -22.09%E -3.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.13%E -6.66%K -101.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -27.37%E -4.98%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-29 12:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%12.5%2026-09-29 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 83.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%13.2%2026-09-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 83.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%13.2%2026-09-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%13.9%2026-09-29 14:00