Language:English
Mai Hontama v Katie Boulter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mai Hontama (Local)
Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +0.590%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%30.47%30.42%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.153.3534.48%32.03%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katie Boulter (Visit)
Prediction 69.74%1.43fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.53%69.58%71.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.351.4077.52%73.71%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mai Hontama (Local): 30.26%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 69.74%. For Mai Hontama (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +1.39%E +0.414%K +0.590%G +0.008% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.55%E -4.89%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +1.08%E +0.324%K +0.463%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.25%E -5.45%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.127%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.25%E -5.45%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.64%E -0.505%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.64%E -0.505%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.64%E -0.505%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.25%E -5.45%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.64%E -0.505%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.25%E -5.45%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -2.25%E -0.695%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 08:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.15%E -0.985%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.76%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -8.65%E -6.60%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 09:17 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.46%E -3.26%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 09:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.18%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.55%E -4.89%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.77%E -2.73%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.16%E -3.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -10.04%E -7.78%K -34.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.86%E -4.34%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.37%E -1.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.77%E -2.73%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.77%E -2.73%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.77%E -2.73%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.95%E -6.02%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-09-30 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 09:10 |