Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mai Hontama v Katie Boulter

2026-09-30 07:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mai Hontama (Local)

Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV +0.185%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.31%36.59%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.622.7541.67%38.40%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Boulter (Visit)

Prediction 63.57%1.57fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -6.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%63.69%63.41%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.50%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mai Hontama (Local): 36.43%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 63.57%. For Mai Hontama (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.185%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.185%E +0.067%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.37%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.37%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:55
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.88%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.88%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 13:00
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:54
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 13:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 13:09
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 13:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.74%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:55
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.47%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:50
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -9.73%E -6.85%K -23.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-29 12:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.57%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.57%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-29 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%9.9%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.14%15.7%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.14%15.7%2026-09-29 12:50
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 32.81%1.25I 80.00%NM 67.19%19.1%2026-09-29 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 52.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 47.03%70.1%2026-09-29 13:00