Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mai Hontama v Katie Boulter

2026-09-30 07:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mai Hontama (Local)

Prévision 36.53%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.468%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.267%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.50%36.59%38.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.622.7541.67%38.53%38.17%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Katie Boulter (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.47%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -6.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.22%63.50%63.41%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.481.481.5270.42%67.42%67.57%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Mai Hontama (Local) : 36.53% ; Katie Boulter (Visiteur) : 63.47%. Pour Mai Hontama (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.75, pour une espérance positive de +0.468%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.468%E +0.170%K +0.267%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.97%E -5.50%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.09%E -0.780%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.09%E -0.780%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:55
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:50
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:55
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:54
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 13:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 13:00
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.74%E -2.23%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.47%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:55
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.20%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:50
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -9.88%E -6.96%K -23.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-29 12:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 13:37
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-29 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.24%E -6.46%K -21.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-29 12:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%9.9%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.46%13.2%2026-09-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.46%13.2%2026-09-29 14:15
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.80%14.5%2026-09-29 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 55.84%1.29I 77.52%NM 44.16%75.6%2026-09-29 14:15