Language:English
Iva Jović v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iva Jović (Local)
Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV -0.322%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.52%35.51%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.702.8140.00%37.59%37.11%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.48%64.49%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5271.43%68.36%68.49%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 35.47%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 64.53%. For Iva Jović (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.81, with an expected value of -0.322%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -0.322%E -0.115%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -9.02%E -6.39%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.677%E -0.242%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.45%E -0.891%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.45%E -0.891%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.45%E -0.891%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -2.45%E -0.891%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.02%E -6.39%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.51%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.87%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.92%E -1.26%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.56%E -1.70%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.56%E -1.70%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.22%E -1.56%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.93%E -1.84%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.29%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.29%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 12:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.79%E -3.97%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.73%E -5.40%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.06%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:11 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.44%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 13:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.54%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%EV -9.90%E -3.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -9.02%E -6.39%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |