Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Iga Swiatek

2026-10-07 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 35.50%2.82fair odd
EV -0.241%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.53%35.59%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8140.00%37.77%37.74%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Visit)

Prediction 64.50%1.55fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.47%64.41%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.35%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iva Jović (Local): 35.50%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 64.50%. For Iva Jović (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.81, with an expected value of -0.241%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -0.241%E -0.086%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.596%E -0.213%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-05 12:54
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.37%E -0.862%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.37%E -0.862%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 11:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.37%E -0.862%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:41
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.44%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.61%E -1.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.15%E -1.54%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.21%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 13:13
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 12:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 11:45
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.99%E -2.67%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 13:15
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.96%E -1.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 13:23
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:41
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:41
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:11
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:10
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 12:11
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:18
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.70%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 11:43
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%EV -9.83%E -3.87%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-05 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.32%E -0.861%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 12:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.25%E -4.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-05 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-10-05 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.0%2026-10-05 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%3.2%2026-10-05 13:10
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.92%11.8%2026-10-05 11:45