Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Iga Swiatek

2026-10-07 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.351%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.194%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.50%35.51%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.8140.00%37.72%37.74%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Predicción 64.54%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.50%64.49%66.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.5271.43%68.34%68.49%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iva Jović (Local): 35.46%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 64.54%. Para Iva Jović (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.81, con un valor esperado de -0.351%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -9.00%E -6.38%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.706%E -0.252%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-05 12:54
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.48%E -0.901%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.48%E -0.901%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 11:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.48%E -0.901%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.83%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 13:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.83%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.54%E -1.30%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.65%E -6.89%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -5.67%E -2.13%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 13:13
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 12:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 13:15
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 11:45
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.71%E -5.39%K -17.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 13:15
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.90%E -1.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 13:23
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:41
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 11:41
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:11
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.48%E -3.03%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:10
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.77%E -3.96%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 12:11
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:18
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.42%E -4.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.65%E -6.89%K -24.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.00%E -6.38%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 11:43
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%EV -9.93%E -3.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%EV -9.00%E -6.38%K -21.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-05 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 12:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.19%E -2.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.65%E -6.89%K -24.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-05 11:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%3.2%2026-10-05 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%7.2%2026-10-05 13:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%7.2%2026-10-05 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 33.65%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%7.7%2026-10-05 13:56
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 30.26%1.18I 84.75%NM 69.74%21.5%2026-10-05 13:56