Language:English
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Diana Shnaider
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.903%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%34.03%34.12%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.753.0139.22%36.39%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diana Shnaider (Visit)
Prediction 65.87%1.52fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%65.97%65.88%67.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.441.441.4872.99%69.31%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 34.13%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 65.87%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +2.72%E +0.903%K +1.35%G +0.037% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -0.352%E -0.121%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.75%E -7.12%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 03:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.08%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 03:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -3.76%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 03:11 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 03:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.80%E -4.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 03:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.80%E -4.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.80%E -4.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.78%E -5.55%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -8.44%E -6.07%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 04:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.82%E -2.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.80%E -4.06%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 04:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.51%E -1.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.51%E -1.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.17%E -2.15%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.82%E -2.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.82%E -2.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 04:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.14%E -3.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 04:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.44%E -6.07%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 03:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.09%E -6.59%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 03:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.98%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.12%E -5.05%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 21:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 04:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |