Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Diana Shnaider

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prediction 37.38%2.67fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.494%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%37.40%37.42%39.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.492.452.6442.92%40.24%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 62.62%1.60fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.99%62.60%62.58%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.92%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 37.38%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 62.62%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.64, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -1.30%E -0.494%K -0.795%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.82%E -3.17%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 12:25
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.80%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.21%E -6.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.82%E -3.17%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 12:35
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.82%E -3.17%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -6.16%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -4.82%E -3.17%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.54%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.96%E -5.41%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 12:40
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.29%E -2.94%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.57%E -2.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 12:30
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -8.03%E -3.27%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.32%E -1.49%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.32%E -1.49%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 11:14
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.58%E -5.88%K -18.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 12:38
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.28%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.58%E -5.88%K -18.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.21%E -6.35%K -20.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.15%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.83%E -6.83%K -22.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-02 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -6.70%E -4.50%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 38.10%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%12.2%2026-10-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 38.25%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.75%15.7%2026-10-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 38.25%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.75%15.7%2026-10-02 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 38.25%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.75%15.7%2026-10-02 12:56