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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Ekaterina Alexandrova v Diana Shnaider

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Predicción 36.10%2.77momio equitativo
EV +4.68%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.115%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%35.93%36.39%39.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.332.562.502.9042.92%39.00%40.00%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 63.90%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.313%
Ventaja -0.201%
Kelly -0.559%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.99%64.07%63.61%67.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.16%67.11%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 36.10%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 63.90%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.68%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.115%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.54%E -7.53%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:40
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.115%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.54%E -7.53%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.115%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.54%E -7.53%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.68%E +1.62%K +2.47%G +0.115%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.54%E -7.53%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.07%E +0.384%K +0.597%G +0.006%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 13:39
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.07%E +0.384%K +0.597%G +0.006%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 13:40
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.07%E +0.384%K +0.597%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.54%E -7.53%K -26.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.730%E -0.266%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.70%E -4.59%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.730%E -0.266%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.54%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 13:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.54%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.06%E -4.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -7.23%E -2.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.34%E -5.06%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:23
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.29%EV -9.39%E -3.74%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.71%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-02 13:24
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-02 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.06%E -4.13%K -12.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.62%E -6.03%K -20.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 13:39
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -10.48%E -4.22%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.59%E -1.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 12:30
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -11.20%E -4.55%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -0.313%E -0.201%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.313%E -0.201%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 11:14
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.952%E -0.614%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 13:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.87%E -1.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -11.56%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -9.90%E -7.02%K -24.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.17%E -6.46%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -7.98%E -5.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-02 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -15.89%E -6.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -4.79%E -3.21%K -9.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 34.86%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.14%12.1%2026-10-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 34.86%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.14%12.1%2026-10-02 13:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 36.46%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.54%12.4%2026-10-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 37.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.57%14.2%2026-10-02 13:30
Arbitraje (74 combinaciones) +1.43%888sport 2.90 (35.0%) / GTbets 1.56 (65.0%)Ver las 74 combinaciones
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)Diana Shnaider (Visitante)Margen
888sport🎯 2.90 (35.0%)GTbets🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
888sport🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (35.0%)GTbets🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (35.0%)GTbets🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.90 (35.0%)GTbets🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (65.0%)+1.43%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)TABtouch🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)BetRivers🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Grosvenor🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Casumo🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Bally Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)betPARX🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)TABtouch🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)BetRivers🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Grosvenor🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Casumo🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Bally Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)betPARX🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
William Hill🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)TABtouch🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Virgin Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)BetRivers🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Grosvenor🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)LiveScore Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Casumo🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Bally Bet🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)betPARX🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.55 (65.2%)+1.01%

Mostrando 50 de 74 combinaciones