Language:English
Daria Snigur v Katarzyna Kawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Snigur (Local)
Prediction 84.22%1.19fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -14.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.51%84.22%84.27%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1690.91%88.69%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katarzyna Kawa (Visit)
Prediction 15.78%6.34fair odd
EV +10.44%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.182%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.79%15.78%15.73%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.865.807.0021.05%17.06%17.24%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 84.22%; Katarzyna Kawa (Visit): 15.78%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +10.44%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.57%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.56%E +0.393%K +0.465%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 03:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.56%E +0.393%K +0.465%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 01:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.56%E +0.393%K +0.465%G +0.012% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 01:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.18%E -0.351%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.18%E -0.351%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -3.76%E -0.616%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 03:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -3.76%E -0.616%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 04:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 04:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.33%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.97%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.03%EV -5.81%E -0.973%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.96%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.96%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -2.30%E -1.98%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.91%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 02:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.91%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 01:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.41%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.59%EV -9.59%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -10.07%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 04:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 23:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.08%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.92%EV -14.01%E -2.57%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.80%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.80%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.68%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -17.17%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -21.11%E -4.22%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-30 01:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -25.06%E -5.27%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -25.06%E -5.27%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 04:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 04:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.35% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.65% | 1.9% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-09-30 04:50 |