Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur v Katarzyna Kawa

2026-09-30 04:30 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Predicción 83.45%1.20momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -20.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.51%83.29%83.39%85.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1690.91%87.71%87.72%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katarzyna Kawa (Visitante)

Predicción 16.55%6.04momio equitativo
EV +7.59%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.105%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%16.71%16.61%19.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.525.506.5021.74%18.13%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daria Snigur (Local): 83.45%; Katarzyna Kawa (Visitante): 16.55%. Para Katarzyna Kawa (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.04. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.59%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.59%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.105%4.7%2026-09-29 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +2.63%E +0.424%K +0.505%G +0.013%4.6%2026-09-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV +2.46%E +0.398%K +0.475%G +0.012%3.9%2026-09-29 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.34%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.66%EV +1.64%E +0.266%K +0.318%G +0.005%4.0%2026-09-29 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.34%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.66%EV +1.64%E +0.266%K +0.318%G +0.005%4.0%2026-09-29 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.145%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 14:50
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:30
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.682%E -0.114%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -2.34%E -0.396%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.688%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.99%E -0.688%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.82%E -0.838%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.82%E -0.838%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 15:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.82%E -0.838%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 14:56
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.65%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 17:09
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.65%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -8.21%E -7.46%K -82.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -5.65%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.48%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.30%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-29 16:55
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.13%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 16:55
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 14:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.87%E -4.27%K -34.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 15:05
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 15:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.96%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 15:38
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.61%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.61%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 20:00
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.61%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 16:55
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.61%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.61%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.10%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 13:35
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:50
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.20%E -2.76%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.70%E -5.05%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -13.92%E -2.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -7.37%E -6.64%K -67.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -18.89%E -3.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-29 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -6.54%E -5.84%K -54.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -20.55%E -4.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 12:50
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.37%E -4.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.04%E -3.51%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -21.37%E -4.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-29 12:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -7.37%E -6.64%K -67.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -23.86%E -5.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-29 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-29 20:10
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-29 20:10
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.6%2026-09-29 17:50
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-09-29 20:10