Language:English
Yuliia Starodubtseva v Ekaterine Gorgodze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)
Prediction 80.37%1.24fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -13.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.30%80.48%80.52%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.74%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterine Gorgodze (Visit)
Prediction 19.63%5.10fair odd
EV +9.91%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.214%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%19.52%19.48%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.854.855.6023.53%20.60%20.62%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 80.37%; Ekaterine Gorgodze (Visit): 19.63%. For Ekaterine Gorgodze (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +9.91%E +1.77%K +2.15%G +0.214% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +9.91%E +1.77%K +2.15%G +0.214% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 22:12 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.18%E -8.12%K -70.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 22:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +2.06%E +0.396%K +0.490%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -2.45%E -0.494%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.83%E -0.781%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 22:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.83%E -0.781%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.81%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.81%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:02 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 22:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.66%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.75%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.75%E -2.27%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.89%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 22:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 22:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -4.36%E -3.66%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -16.59%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 22:15 |