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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yuliia Starodubtseva v Ekaterine Gorgodze

开赛时间： 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (主队)

预测 80.37%1.24公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -2.27%
Kelly -13.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.21

博彩公司预测分布
78.30%80.48%80.52%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.74%85.47%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ekaterine Gorgodze (客队)

预测 19.63%5.10公平赔率
EV +9.91%
优势 +1.77%
Kelly +2.15%
增长率 +0.214%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
16.67%19.52%19.48%21.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.854.855.6023.53%20.60%20.62%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yuliia Starodubtseva (主队)：80.37%；Ekaterine Gorgodze (客队)：19.63%。 对于“Ekaterine Gorgodze (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.10。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.60，对应+9.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +9.91%E +1.77%K +2.15%G +0.214%7.1%2026-04-01 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -9.98%E -8.91%K -83.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV +9.91%E +1.77%K +2.15%G +0.214%7.1%2026-04-01 22:14
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140%5.1%2026-04-01 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140%5.1%2026-04-01 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140%5.9%2026-04-01 22:12
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.18%E -8.12%K -70.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +7.95%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.140%6.7%2026-04-01 22:12
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +2.06%E +0.396%K +0.490%G +0.010%7.0%2026-04-01 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.37%E -7.35%K -59.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.87%E -0.373%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -2.45%E -0.494%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.83%E -0.781%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 22:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.83%E -0.781%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.81%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.81%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:02
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.77%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.66%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.75%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 21:59
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.75%E -2.27%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.89%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 22:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:03
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.68%E -2.60%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 22:13
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 22:14
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.55%E -2.96%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -4.36%E -3.66%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -15.02%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -16.59%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 22:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%3.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%7.5%2026-04-01 22:15