Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 19:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Prediction 41.62%2.40fair odd
EV +0.719%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.507%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%41.98%41.61%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.202.202.4251.28%45.44%45.45%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)

Prediction 58.38%1.71fair odd
EV +5.08%
Edge +2.82%
Kelly +6.36%
Growth +0.323%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%58.02%58.39%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.641.8065.36%60.93%60.98%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 41.62%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 58.38%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -18.84%E -9.66%K -19.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +5.08%E +2.82%K +6.36%G +0.323%6.8%2026-04-02 19:15
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -13.43%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.2%2026-04-02 19:04
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.9%2026-04-02 19:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.9%2026-04-02 19:05
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.77%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.58%E +0.909%K +2.14%G +0.034%4.6%2026-04-02 19:05
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.58%E +0.909%K +2.14%G +0.034%6.3%2026-04-02 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -12.18%E -5.77%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +0.998%E +0.577%K +1.37%G +0.014%5.2%2026-04-02 19:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -9.27%E -4.25%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%4.0%2026-04-02 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -9.27%E -4.25%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%4.0%2026-04-02 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%5.8%2026-04-02 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%5.8%2026-04-02 19:03
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -0.169%E -0.099%K -0.239%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.753%E -0.443%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.69%E -4.46%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:10
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:02
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:02
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -15.93%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 19:04
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.52%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.93%E -5.11%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.84%E -2.97%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:14
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:14
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.11%E -2.24%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -13.43%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +0.719%E +0.297%K +0.507%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.36%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 19:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -2.19%E -0.934%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-04-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-02 19:15
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-04-02 19:15
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%3.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%3.6%2026-04-02 19:15