L’École des cotes

Renata Zarazua v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 19:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Prévision 41.62%2.40cote équitable
EV +0.719%
Avantage +0.297%
Kelly +0.507%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.09%41.98%41.61%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.202.202.4251.28%45.44%45.45%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.38%1.71cote équitable
EV +5.08%
Avantage +2.82%
Kelly +6.36%
Croissance +0.323%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%58.02%58.39%60.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.641.8065.36%60.93%60.98%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -18.84%E -9.66%K -19.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +5.08%E +2.82%K +6.36%G +0.323%6.8%2026-04-02 19:15
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -13.43%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.2%2026-04-02 19:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.9%2026-04-02 19:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +2.17%E +1.24%K +2.89%G +0.063%5.9%2026-04-02 19:05
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.77%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.58%E +0.909%K +2.14%G +0.034%4.6%2026-04-02 19:05
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +1.58%E +0.909%K +2.14%G +0.034%6.3%2026-04-02 19:05
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -12.18%E -5.77%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +0.998%E +0.577%K +1.37%G +0.014%5.2%2026-04-02 19:03
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -9.27%E -4.25%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%4.0%2026-04-02 19:04
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -9.27%E -4.25%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%4.0%2026-04-02 19:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%5.8%2026-04-02 19:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.414%E +0.241%K +0.576%G +0.002%5.8%2026-04-02 19:03
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -0.169%E -0.099%K -0.239%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -14.68%E -7.16%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.753%E -0.443%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.69%E -4.46%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.10%E -4.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 19:15
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:10
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:02
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.60%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 19:02
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -15.93%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 19:04
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.52%E -2.43%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 18:59
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.93%E -5.11%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.84%E -2.97%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 19:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:14
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.11%E -2.24%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:14
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -13.43%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 19:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +0.719%E +0.297%K +0.507%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.36%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.93%E -5.72%K -15.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 19:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 19:15
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.113%E -0.047%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -2.19%E -0.934%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 19:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 19:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-04-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-02 19:15
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-04-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-04-02 19:15
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%3.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%3.6%2026-04-02 19:15