Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peyton Stearns v Ashlyn Krueger

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prediction 58.96%1.70fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.83%58.82%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6864.94%62.04%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ashlyn Krueger (Visit)

Prediction 41.04%2.44fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.17%41.18%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.252.4046.51%43.92%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 58.96%; Ashlyn Krueger (Visit): 41.04%. For Peyton Stearns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.943%E -0.561%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.943%E -0.561%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.71%E -1.64%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 07:45
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.85%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:01
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:01
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:55
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:59
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:01
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 07:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 07:44
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:01
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 16:01
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 07:35
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 16:19
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:24
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -9.20%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -6.85%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%2.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-01 16:20