La escuela de los momios

Peyton Stearns v Ashlyn Krueger

Inicio: 2026-04-01 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Predicción 58.96%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.943%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%58.83%58.82%60.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.611.6864.94%62.04%62.11%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ashlyn Krueger (Visitante)

Predicción 41.04%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%41.17%41.18%43.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.252.4046.51%43.92%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.943%E -0.561%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -0.943%E -0.561%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.71%E -1.64%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 15:55
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 07:45
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.85%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:01
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 16:01
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:55
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 15:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:01
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.48%E -2.77%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:59
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:01
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 07:35
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 10:55
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.43%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:01
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 07:44
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 14:30
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:01
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 15:55
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 15:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:01
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:01
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 16:01
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 16:01
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 07:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:01
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 16:19
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.51%E -0.629%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:24
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.61%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 15:55
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -9.20%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -6.85%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-01 16:25
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%2.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-01 16:20