Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Sakkari v Paula Badosa

Inizio: 2026-04-01 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Sakkari (Casa)

Previsione 48.23%2.07quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%48.27%48.30%50.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.951.952.0153.76%51.27%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Paula Badosa (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.77%1.93quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.583%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.74%51.73%51.70%53.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.67%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Maria Sakkari (Casa): 48.23%; Paula Badosa (Trasferta): 51.77%. Per Paula Badosa (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.93. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.91, con un valore atteso del -1.11%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 18:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:45
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 18:34
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.29%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.29%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 18:54
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.48%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.74%E -2.57%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.18%E -1.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.40%E -3.86%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.40%E -3.86%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 18:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:34
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 18:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.85%E -4.68%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.11%E -0.583%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:35
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -10.30%E -5.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%1.8%2026-04-01 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-04-01 18:55