La escuela de los momios

Maria Sakkari v Paula Badosa

Inicio: 2026-04-01 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 48.23%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.38%48.27%48.30%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.951.952.0153.76%51.27%51.28%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Predicción 51.77%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%51.73%51.70%53.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.67%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 18:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:44
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.55%E -1.77%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 18:34
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:54
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 18:54
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 18:34
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 18:40
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.29%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.29%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 18:54
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.48%E -2.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.74%E -2.57%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 18:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.18%E -1.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.70%E -1.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:35
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.96%E -3.06%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:34
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:35
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 18:34
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.40%E -3.86%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.40%E -3.86%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 18:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 18:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:34
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 18:45
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.13%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 18:27
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.85%E -4.68%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.11%E -0.583%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:35
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -10.30%E -5.54%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-04-01 18:55
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%1.8%2026-04-01 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-04-01 18:55