Language:English
Leylah Fernandez v Polina Kudermetova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leylah Fernandez (Local)
Prediction 58.34%1.71fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.46%58.33%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6766.67%62.51%62.31%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Polina Kudermetova (Visit)
Prediction 41.66%2.40fair odd
EV +10.40%
Edge +3.92%
Kelly +6.30%
Growth +0.655%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%41.54%41.67%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.6547.62%43.86%44.44%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 58.34%; Polina Kudermetova (Visit): 41.66%. For Polina Kudermetova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +10.40%E +3.92%K +6.30%G +0.655% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 19:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +4.57%E +1.82%K +3.02%G +0.138% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.15%E +1.66%K +2.77%G +0.115% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV +3.73%E +1.50%K +2.50%G +0.093% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074% | 2.8% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074% | 2.8% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 19:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +2.07%E +0.843%K +1.42%G +0.029% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -7.82%E -4.95%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +0.816%E +0.337%K +0.575%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -11.32%E -7.45%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV +0.816%E +0.337%K +0.575%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV +0.399%E +0.166%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -11.32%E -7.45%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.850%E -0.357%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.850%E -0.357%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -11.91%E -7.88%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 19:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.18%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.21%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.18%E -4.21%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -10.85%E -5.07%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -11.68%E -5.51%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 19:25 |