L’École des cotes

Leylah Fernandez v Polina Kudermetova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prévision 58.34%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%58.46%58.33%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.6766.67%62.51%62.31%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Polina Kudermetova (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.66%2.40cote équitable
EV +10.40%
Avantage +3.92%
Kelly +6.30%
Croissance +0.655%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%41.54%41.67%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.252.6547.62%43.86%44.44%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +10.40%E +3.92%K +6.30%G +0.655%4.4%2026-04-01 19:23
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +4.57%E +1.82%K +3.02%G +0.138%4.8%2026-04-01 19:14
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.15%E +1.66%K +2.77%G +0.115%6.7%2026-04-01 19:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV +3.73%E +1.50%K +2.50%G +0.093%5.5%2026-04-01 19:14
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074%2.8%2026-04-01 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074%2.8%2026-04-01 19:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.32%E +1.34%K +2.24%G +0.074%5.3%2026-04-01 19:13
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -10.16%E -6.59%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +2.07%E +0.843%K +1.42%G +0.029%5.8%2026-04-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -7.82%E -4.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +0.816%E +0.337%K +0.575%G +0.005%4.6%2026-04-01 19:04
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -11.32%E -7.45%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV +0.816%E +0.337%K +0.575%G +0.005%7.1%2026-04-01 19:05
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV +0.399%E +0.166%K +0.283%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-01 19:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 19:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -11.32%E -7.45%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.850%E -0.357%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 19:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.850%E -0.357%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 19:25
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 19:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.57%E -6.18%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -11.91%E -7.88%K -23.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 19:03
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -12.49%E -8.33%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -2.10%E -0.894%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 19:25
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 19:25
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 19:24
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.74%E -7.02%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 19:25
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 19:24
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 19:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.41%E -5.35%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.27%E -2.78%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 19:24
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.18%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 19:24
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 19:25
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 19:25
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 19:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 19:25
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 19:25
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 19:24
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 19:25
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 19:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.74%E -2.27%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.18%E -4.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 19:25
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 19:25
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.32%E -2.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 19:25
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 19:25
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.43%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 19:24
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -10.85%E -5.07%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -11.68%E -5.51%K -10.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.66%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-01 19:25
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-04-01 19:25
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-01 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%5.6%2026-04-01 19:25
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%6.3%2026-04-01 19:25