Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 20:28 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 67.10%1.49fair odd
EV +44.26%
Edge +20.59%
Kelly +38.49%
Growth +17.03%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.29%62.86%67.06%69.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.581.402.1575.19%63.25%71.43%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.18%37.14%32.94%55.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.632.552.803.1761.35%39.21%35.71%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 67.10%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 32.90%. For Iva Jović (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +44.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +44.26%E +20.59%K +38.49%G +17.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +44.26%E +20.59%K +38.49%G +17.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +41.58%E +19.70%K +37.46%G +15.57%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -42.09%E -23.92%K -55.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +41.58%E +19.70%K +37.46%G +15.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -43.41%E -25.24%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 20:12
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -42.42%E -24.24%K -56.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -43.41%E -25.24%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:05
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -43.74%E -25.58%K -61.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -44.72%E -26.62%K -65.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:16
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +40.23%E +19.25%K +36.91%G +14.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:09
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +39.56%E +19.02%K +36.63%G +14.49%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -42.42%E -24.24%K -56.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:12
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -46.37%E -28.45%K -73.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +34.20%E +17.10%K +34.20%G +11.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +34.20%E +17.10%K +34.20%G +11.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +6.69%E +4.20%K +11.33%G +0.757%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -21.03%E -8.76%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:22
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:25
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.95%E -0.655%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 20:23
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:25
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:25
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV +4.30%E +1.36%K +1.98%G +0.085%4.5%2026-04-03 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +2.00%E +0.644%K +0.951%G +0.019%5.3%2026-04-03 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:23
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.76%E -8.09%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -10.76%E -8.09%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%6.4%2026-04-03 20:24
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%8.4%2026-04-03 20:25