L’École des cotes

Iva Jović v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 20:28 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 67.10%1.49cote équitable
EV +44.26%
Avantage +20.59%
Kelly +38.49%
Croissance +17.03%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.29%62.86%67.06%69.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.581.402.1575.19%63.25%71.43%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV +4.30%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.98%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.18%37.14%32.94%55.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.632.552.803.1761.35%39.21%35.71%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +44.26%E +20.59%K +38.49%G +17.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +44.26%E +20.59%K +38.49%G +17.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +41.58%E +19.70%K +37.46%G +15.57%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -42.09%E -23.92%K -55.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +41.58%E +19.70%K +37.46%G +15.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -43.41%E -25.24%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 20:12
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -42.42%E -24.24%K -56.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -43.41%E -25.24%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:05
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -43.74%E -25.58%K -61.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV +40.90%E +19.48%K +37.19%G +15.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -44.72%E -26.62%K -65.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:16
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +40.23%E +19.25%K +36.91%G +14.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:09
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +39.56%E +19.02%K +36.63%G +14.49%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -42.42%E -24.24%K -56.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -42.75%E -24.57%K -57.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 20:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:12
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV +37.55%E +18.32%K +35.76%G +13.43%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -46.37%E -28.45%K -73.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +34.20%E +17.10%K +34.20%G +11.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +34.20%E +17.10%K +34.20%G +11.69%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -43.08%E -24.90%K -59.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +6.69%E +4.20%K +11.33%G +0.757%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -21.03%E -8.76%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:22
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 20:25
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:25
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 20:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.95%E -0.655%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:25
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 20:23
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:25
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 20:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:24
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 20:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:24
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 20:25
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV +4.30%E +1.36%K +1.98%G +0.085%4.5%2026-04-03 20:25
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +2.00%E +0.644%K +0.951%G +0.019%5.3%2026-04-03 20:24
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.08%E -5.90%K -21.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 20:25
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:23
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:25
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 20:25
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 20:25
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.76%E -8.09%K -32.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 20:25
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -10.76%E -8.09%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-03 20:25
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-03 20:25
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%6.4%2026-04-03 20:24
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%8.4%2026-04-03 20:25