Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Maya Joint

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 20:00 UTC

Final: Yuliia Starodubtseva 1–2 Maya Joint

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prediction 56.86%1.76fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.80%56.85%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.03%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maya Joint (Visit)

Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV +0.085%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.41%43.20%43.15%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3247.62%45.56%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 56.86%; Maya Joint (Visit): 43.14%. For Maya Joint (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.318. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.085%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.75%E -4.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.085%E +0.037%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.77%E -1.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.77%E -1.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.48%E -2.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.75%E -4.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 09:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.89%E -4.87%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.66%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 13:40
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.66%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 13:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:04
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:09
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:04
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.75%E -4.12%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.34%E -1.96%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 19:39
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 02:24
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 05:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.32%E -4.49%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 04:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.48%E -2.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.48%E -2.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:29
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:14
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.91%E -2.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.63%E -0.943%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.18%E -3.75%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-03 19:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-03 19:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-03 19:35

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