Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Maya Joint

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Predicción 57.15%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.50%57.26%57.14%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.661.7164.10%60.55%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maya Joint (Visitante)

Predicción 42.85%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.74%42.86%44.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.2847.62%45.57%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 57.15%; Maya Joint (Visitante): 42.85%. Para Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.75. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.71, con un valor esperado de -2.28%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.44%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.85%E -1.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.15%E -4.32%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 14:04
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.99%E -2.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:29
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:04
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:54
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.58%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.14%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:10
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 10:50
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.71%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 10:50
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.28%E -3.83%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:44
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.85%E -4.20%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.85%E -4.20%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:45
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:45
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.01%E -3.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 10:49
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.72%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.56%E -5.35%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 12:04
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.56%E -5.35%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:04
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.58%E -1.59%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:14
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.28%E -6.55%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.85%E -6.96%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-02 13:05
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-02 13:05
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-08-02 14:45