Language:English
Taylor Townsend v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Townsend (Local)
Prediction 28.60%3.50fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.819%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.62%28.73%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.403.6032.79%30.01%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 71.40%1.40fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -8.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%71.38%71.27%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.55%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 28.60%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 71.40%. For Taylor Townsend (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.95%E +0.819%K +1.13%G +0.033% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +0.946%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 23:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.088%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -0.484%E -0.139%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.34%E -0.389%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.61%E -2.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.34%E -0.389%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.34%E -0.389%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.77%E -0.815%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.32%E -7.34%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.61%E -2.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.32%E -7.34%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.92%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.92%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.75%E -4.35%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.18%E -5.52%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 23:31 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.61%E -2.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.13%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 13:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.78%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.61%E -2.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.78%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.61%E -2.67%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 23:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |